Archive for October, 2008

My Obama Minute: Kingsley Avenue

Saturday, October 25th, 2008

Canvassed this afternoon in Akron, off North Hawkins, with my mother in law. We hit about 30 houses in two hours. A few voters were still undecided. Three or four said they were voting for Obama. We stopped at a half-way house. The guy who answered the door was a Navy vet, who spoke to us for ten minutes, thumbs-up-Obama all the way. We signed up one volunteer for Election Day.

I have to say, it was a tough walk sheet. There were three or four homes on the block that were foreclosed, with the notices stuck to the front doors. Many others were in disrepair; a few seemed abandoned. Someone’s dream, given up.

We used the same walk sheets in Akron as we had used in Beachwood. Very efficient, very impressive. Complete with a list of issues we could circle, in case a voter wanted more information about something, so we could get back to them.

I’ve been tempted to wonder, while doing this, if the McCain folks are doing some of the same work on the other side. I’ll leave it at this, which appeared in today’s New York Times article about how McCain let a huge lead in Florida slip away:

Even several state Republicans said they saw evidence that Mr. Obama was bringing new and highly effective methods to the state to find voters and turn them out.

“I’ve gotten seven calls from live Obama volunteers — and the reason I’m getting calls is because I signed up on their Web site to get notifications from their campaign,” said Sally Bradshaw, a Republican who was a senior political adviser to Jeb Bush, the former governor.

Ms. Bradshaw, who supported Mitt Romney in the primary, had signed up for the list to keep informed about a rival. “I haven’t received any McCain calls,” she said.

Oh … I can’t quite leave it there.

Michelle Obama was on the front page of the Akron Beacon Journal today, with a telephone clamped to her ear. Turns out, before she spoke in Akron yesterday, she stopped by our local headquarters to do phone banking for her husband. Here’s the newspaper’s description of the scene:

On the way to the rally, Obama made an unexpected stop at the Akron campaign office at 3 Merriman Road, her motorcade rolling up just outside.

”How you doing?” she asked the group of about 20 volunteers working the phones.

”I can’t believe it!” said volunteer Cathy Lee of Akron, jumping up and down.

”Thank you so much for coming to Akron, Ohio,” said volunteer Janna Bruner, a retired Akron principal.

Obama sat on a folding chair, grabbed a phone and began talking to an undecided voter.

”What are the things that might help you decide?” she asked.

People, if Michelle Obama can make time to work the phone banks and call undecided voters, we can, too.

JTA: ‘Obama Making Big Gains With Jewish Voters’

Friday, October 24th, 2008

This is what we have been working toward, for months.

Here’s the nut, from the Jewish Telegraphic Agency:

[Two] polls suggest that after months of hovering around 60 percent, Obama appears to be within striking distance of the 75-80 percent of the Jewish vote won by the three previous Democratic nominees for president.

A Gallup tracking poll of 564 Jewish registered voters, taken over the first three weeks of October, found Obama leading Republican John McCain by a 74-22 percent margin. That was a 13-point increase in support for the Democratic nominee since Gallup’s July poll, which had Obama leading 61-34 percent …

Meanwhile, a Qunnipiac University poll taken Oct. 16-21 in Florida found Obama winning 77 percent of Jewish voters in that state, compared to just 20 percent for McCain.

The article is clear that McCain’s pick of Palin is hurting him among Jewish voters, who, like growing numbers of voters nationwide, see the Alaska governor as too inexperienced, and too tied to the far right.

But it’s also very clear that Obama is showing gains from his serious outreach to Jewish communities across the country. This, despite a raft of nasty and misleading negative ads directed against him by the Republican Jewish Coalition, published in Jewish newspapers like the Cleveland Jewish News and many others. As the JTA reports:

In addition to citing the Palin selection, both [National Jewish Democratic Council Executive Director Ira] Forman and Democratic pollster Mark Mellman emphasized the extensive efforts of Obama and his campaign to introduce the Democratic nominee to the Jewish community. The campaign has sent dozens of Jewish surrogates — including Jewish members of Congress and well known figures in the community such as Ed Koch and Dennis Ross — to key states to talk about Obama’s background and his views on Israel and the Middle East.

“As people got to know him better, they felt a lot more comfortable” with him, Mellman said.

That effort continues next week in my hometown, Akron. The Ohio Democratic Party is bringing Dan Shapiro, Obama’s senior policy advisor and National Jewish Outreach Coordinator, to town to speak to the local Jewish community. (See event details at end of this post.) Like Obama advisor Dennis Ross before him, who came to Cleveland last month to address the local Jewish community, Shapiro will talk about Obama’s positions on Israel, the Middle East, and other areas crucial to Jewish voters.

Obama himself came to Cleveland during the primary, to meet with about 100 members of the Jewish community. He answered any and all questions we had for him, directly and intelligently, speaking from the heart about the critical nature of the U.S-Israel relationship.

It’s all part of an unprecedented effort by Obama to speak directly to the Jewish community, to lay out his positions, and to talk specifically about his record.

Sure, some of this is in response to the smear campaign directed against him, which has hurt him among Jewish voters. But that in no way diminishes the significance of Obama’s outreach effort.

When was the last time a presidential candidate made such a thoughtful, concerted, and consistent effort to speak directly to the Jewish community?

It tells us something about Obama’s values – even more when you remember that Jews make up less than 2 percent of the electorate.

If you live in or around Akron, I hope you’ll come to the Dan Shapiro event. If you have any remaining questions about Obama, his positions on Israel, or his take on the Middle East, this is a wonderful chance to ask them.

DETAILS: Tuesday, October 28, 7:30 p.m.; the Shaw JCC of Akron; 750 White Pond Drive.

Shabbat Shalom.

Another Neurotic Democrat: Gail Collins Reports

Friday, October 24th, 2008

This stuff is contagious. Here’s the nut:

The Democrats are terrified. They’re convinced something terrible is going to happen because something terrible always happens. Look at 2000! Look at 2004! All the exit polls said it was going to be Kerry and then he lost. How could that happen? Because God hates Democrats, that’s why.

It’s like the curse of the Bambino. The Democrats fear they’re under a jinx because they committed some sin, the political equivalent of trading away Babe Ruth. If so, it probably started with nominating Joe Lieberman for vice president.

The only people who seem to have faith that Barack Obama can pull this off are the Republicans.

You can read the rest of her column here.

Another Neurotic Democrat: Larry David

Thursday, October 23rd, 2008

Here’s the nut:

I can’t take much more of this. Two weeks to go, and I’m at the end of my rope. I can’t work. I can eat, but mostly standing up. I’m anxious all the time and taking it out on my ex-wife, which, ironically, I’m finding enjoyable. This is like waiting for the results of a biopsy. Actually, it’s worse. Biopsies only take a few days, maybe a week at the most, and if the biopsy comes back positive, there’s still a potential cure. With this, there’s no cure. The result is final. Like death.

Misery loves company. Read the rest here.

Mine, Baby, Mine!

Thursday, October 23rd, 2008

First the polar bears. Then the beluga whales. Now this, from yesterday’s NY Times:

As governor, Ms. Palin has helped ease the way for a proposed copper and gold mine of near-mythic proportions at the headwaters of Bristol Bay, the world’s greatest spawning ground for wild salmon.

If state regulators give their approval, mining companies plan to carve an open pit that would rival the world’s largest mines, descending half a mile and taking as much energy to operate daily as the city of Anchorage …

Scientists and former state and federal biologists warn that toxic residue from the project, known as Pebble Mine, would irreparably harm a centuries-old salmon fishing industry that employs 17,000 and hauls in $100 million annually …

Ms. Palin has remained officially neutral, saying that the state will evaluate the project when it receives a formal permit application. But she has embraced resource extraction in ways that are likely to help Pebble. On the presidential campaign trail in coal country this month, she led supporters in chants of “Mine, baby, mine!”

Oh, and this:

Other moves by the Palin administration could also help Pebble. It plans to use a $7 million federal earmark — a practice she criticizes on the campaign trail — for a major upgrade of a road through the snow-capped Chigmit range, records show. There are no villages along this route, but it would form the first leg of a proposed 200-mile thoroughfare between Pebble Mine and the Pacific Ocean.

And, finally, this:

The environmental challenges to mining there are formidable.

“It is one giant wetland, and no one really understands how it works,” said Carol Ann Woody, a biologist who served on the Pebble advisory team for the United States Geological Survey and views the mine as a threat.

Rain falls in torrents, winter temperatures hit 50 below and a geologic fault — capable of producing catastrophic earthquakes — sits 30 miles away. The proposed mine could produce seven billion tons of toxic waste rock; even traces of copper can disable a salmon’s ability to navigate.

Perhaps we shouldn’t be surprised that Palin, a hero of the far right, is such a rabid anti-environmentalist. What’s truly alarming, though, is the insidious nature of Palin’s assault. Consider that she said this, nearly two years ago, in the tiny village of Ekwok, Alaska:

“I am a commercial fisherman; my daughter’s name is Bristol,” said Ms. Palin, then a candidate for governor. “I could not support a project that risks one resource that we know is a given, and that is the world’s richest spawning grounds, over another resource.”

Verlyn Klinenborg put a fine point on Palin’s dangerous approach in an article in yesterday’s Times. He noted that Palin doesn’t argue against environmental protections; she argues, for instance, that it is “premature” to place beluga whales on the endangered species list. (See blog post: “Kill the Whales.”) He writes:

Palin can be a skillful politician. “Premature” is such a subtle, reassuring word. It implies that she won’t always be opposed to protecting belugas, just not right now.

By “premature,” Ms. Palin might mean that scientific studies of the beluga whale population are incomplete. It is hard to see her as a proponent of exacting science; some of the studies her aides cited to justify her earlier opposition to listing the polar bear as endangered flatly ignored the threats posed by climate change and were financed by the oil industry. There is little doubt that her real concern is protecting Alaska’s gas-and-oil development.

Presumably, the time for listing the belugas will be mature when the gas-and-oil infrastructure in Cook Inlet is in place and the shipping lanes are running full and the fishing industry is going gangbusters. After humans have gotten everything they want out of those waters, then it will be time.

The problem, of course, is that by that time, the whales will be gone. Writes Klinkenborg:

What makes Ms. Palin an especially effective anti-environmentalist is that she comes from Alaska. She touches the expansionist chord, the ancestral American feeling that there will always be enough nature, although it is already clear that the systemic balance of nature is beginning to break down over much of the globe. I picture Governor Palin as an old-time buffalo hunter, wielding a Sharps buffalo rifle as skillfully as she wields a misstatement. “There will,” she says, “be time” — BOOM — “to protect those buffalo there, but at the moment” — BOOM — “it is premature.”

The environment hasn’t gotten much play in an election cycle dominated first by Iraq and then by the economy. But in an era of global warming and declining biodiversity (See post: “My Debate Question“), can we really afford to have such an avid anti-environmentalist a heartbeat away?

My Obama Minute: Sending a Message

Wednesday, October 22nd, 2008

Most of you have probably heard by now about the comments of GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann, who is running for reelection to her House seat in Minnesota. After suggesting that Obama has “anti-American views” she said:

“I wish the American media would take a great look at the views of the people in Congress and find out, are they pro-America or anti-America. I would love to see an exposé like that.”

Thing is, it’s not 1950 anymore. The House Un-American Activities Committee is in the dustbin of history, where it belongs. Americans, by and large, are sick and tired of Republican scare, divide, and conquer tactics. The folks I know back in Jersey don’t tend to respond well when Gov. Palin, the GOP’s pick for the future, says in North Carolina that she likes visiting the “real America,” praising the “pro-America areas of this great nation.”

(Palin apologized last night in a CNN interview, saying she didn’t intend to suggest other parts of the country were less patriotic or less American. “You know,” she said, ”when I go to these rallies and we see the patriotism just shining through these people’s faces and the Vietnam veterans wearing their hats so proudly and they have tears in their eyes as we sing our national anthem and it is so inspiring and I say that this is true America, you get it.” She added: “I certainly don’t want that interpreted as one area being more patriotic or more American than another. If that’s the way it has come across, I apologize.” Honestly,  no, Gov. Palin – I don’t get it. At the rallies, you were clearly using patriotism as a wedge — between people, between voters, between red states and blue states – and I judge your apology last night to be further obfuscation and incomplete, at best.)

But I digress.

Bachmann had been on a glide-path to relection. As the Washington Post reports, after her McCarthy-esque comments, her little known opponent  Elwyn Tinklenberg raised $1 million:

The backlash from Bachmann’s remarks gave Tinklenberg enough donations to quadruple his television advertising, prompted the nonpartisan Cook Political Report to flip its take on the race from “likely Republican” to “tossup” and inspired a Republican who lost to Bachmann in the party’s primary to launch a write-in campaign.

My wife and I felt it was important to join this effort to kick Bachmann out of the halls of Congress. We gave a donation to Tinklenberg this morning. You can too, by clicking here.

And we didn’t stop there.

Because in North Carolina, Republican Robin Hayes riled up a crowd Saturday by channeling Bachmann, saying, “”liberals hate real Americans that work and accomplish and achieve and believe in God.”

Ahhhh, he finally said it. Not only am I myself lazy, Godless, and treasonous, but I hate all those on the other side of that line.

Of course, moments later, he denied ever saying it. And when a reporter quoted him, he kept right on denying it. (Check out this incredible string of updates from Politico’s The Crypt.) In fact, he denied it right up until the point in time when an audiotape surfaced, confirming that he’d said exactly what he was quoted as saying. When that happened, he suddenly claimed that he was perplexed that it had come out of his mouth, because he’d actually been “trying to work to keep the crowd as respectful as possible.”

That climb-down is almost Palin-esqe.

What happens to these Republicans when they get in front of the mic that they say things apparently diametrically opposed to what they really believe? Are they not aware that people now have video recorders on their cell phones? Do they really have the hubris to spew division in one breath, and deny their very words in the next? Do they not recognize the damage they cause?

Words create worlds. It’s in the Torah. Once uttered, words can’t just be put magically put back in a bottle.

Which is why my wife and I this morning made a small donation to Larry Kissell, Hayes’ challenger. And as the Post reports:

Kissell is making his second run at Hayes after coming within 329 votes of unseating the veteran lawmaker in 2006. This time, Kissell is better funded, as the national Democratic Party is putting more than $1 million into his race.

You can help, too, by clicking here.

Inspired, I decided to go for a trifecta.

I’m sure you all remember what happened to Georgia Sen. Max Cleland. Here’s a refresher, from the NY Times:

Six years ago, Democratic Senator Max Cleland was defeated by Republican Saxby Chambliss, who ran ads accusing Mr. Cleland of not being patriotic enough and of being soft on Osama Bin Laden.

The thing is, Mr. Cleland is a decorated Vietnam veteran, who lost an arm and two legs fighting for his country …

It was dirty politics at its dirtiest. Mr. Cleland, who gets around with the help of a wheelchair, struggled mightily every day with his war wounds. When he was campaigning and making television appearances, it took him an hour and a half to get dressed. But his injuries did not stop the ads — or some of Mr. Chambliss’s supporters from saying even worse.

After his loss in 2002, Mr. Cleland said he underwent treatment for depression.

Well, Saxby’s back on the campaign trail in what used to be the solidly Republican Georgia, asking for people’s vote. He’s again running harsh attack ads. But his opponent Jim Martin, ala Obama, is fighting back. And this time, Georgia voters are telling Chambliss, Not so fast. As the Times reports:

Until recently, nobody thought State Representative Jim Martin, Senator Chambliss’s Democratic opponent, could raise much of a challenge. Mr. Martin is not a flashy guy. He has the demeanor of a deacon, a far cry from Georgia’s history of Talmadges and other flamboyant politicians.

But polls have started to show Georgians almost split on this race (some are even suggesting that Mr. Martin is ahead). And the national Democratic Party has moved money in over the last few weeks.

We gave a small donation to Martin this morning, to let him know we’re pulling for him in Akron, Ohio. (You can too, by clicking here.)

Something’s happening. It’s happening all across the country.  The kinds of jingoistic attacks that seem encoded in the GOP DNA — attacks that instilled fear in my heart four years ago — are backfiring, from Georgia, to North Carolina, to Minnesota, to the places in between.

Something’s happening, and it has to do with the fact that we are, at last, sick and tired of being told who is different from us and why we should hate and mistrust them.

Something’s happening. And I think it’s safe to say that whatever it is, exactly, it gathered steam four years ago, when Barack Obama stood up at the DNC, looked over the dais, straight into millions of living rooms across the nation, and said:

Now even as we speak, there are those who are preparing to divide us, the spin masters, the negative ad peddlers who embrace the politics of anything goes.

Well, I say to them tonight, there is not a liberal America and a conservative America — there is the United States of America. There is not a Black America and a White America and Latino America and Asian America — there’s the United States of America.

The pundits, the pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into Red States and Blue States; Red States for Republicans, Blue States for Democrats. But I’ve got news for them, too:

We worship an awesome God in the Blue States, and we don’t like federal agents poking around in our libraries in the Red States.

We coach Little League in the Blue States and yes, we’ve got some gay friends in the Red States.

There are patriots who opposed the war in Iraq and there are patriots who supported the war in Iraq.

We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the stars and stripes, all of us defending the United States of America. In the end, that’s what this election is about. Do we participate in a politics of cynicism or do we participate in a politics of hope?

Yes, we do.

Advanced Transcript of Biden’s Next Speech

Tuesday, October 21st, 2008

The following appeared in today’s NY Times:

“Mark my words, it will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy,” [Biden said.] ”The world is looking. We’re about to elect a brilliant 47-year-old senator president of the United States of America. Remember I said it standing here, if you don’t remember anything else I said. Watch, we’re going to have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy.’’

Mr. Biden added: “And the kind of help he’s going to need is, he’s going to need you — not financially to help him — we’re going to need you to use your influence, your influence within the community, to stand with him. Because it’s not going to be apparent initially, it’s not going to be apparent that we’re right.”

 

Ladies and Gentleman, I stand here before you today with a single purpose. I aim to speak to you directly, and from the heart. And that purpose is to tell you who is going to launch the next attack on the United States, and when they are going to launch it.

Now, I hear you saying: But, Joe! How do you know? How could you possibly know in advance when and where the next threat is going to come from?

Well, ladies and gentlemen, I don’t. Of course I don’t. Just think about it for a minute. Knowing something in advance? I mean, far be it from — heck, I don’t even know in advance if my Amtrak train is going to leave Union Station on time. How could I possibly know when the United States is going to be attacked? What time frame. At the same time, and let me be perfectly clear on this, that’s not going to stop me from telling you exactly what I think.

Six months. Within six month’s of Barack Obama’s election. Or, make that seven. No doubt about it. In fact, ladies and gentlemen, if I can put a finer point on it for you, if you’ll permit me. it’s going to happen August 4, 2009. Why August 4? Good question. And I’m here to tell you I have the answer: August 4 is Barack Obama’s birthday.

Ladies and gentleman, think about it. Just put your thinking caps on for a second. If you were going to attack America — you’re not, but let’s just say you were — wouldn’t you wait for a day when the brilliant, young, inexperienced, risky American president was focused on presents and birthday cake? Think about it — if you were Ahmadinejad, right? It makes perfect sense. Happy birthday, Mr. President!

Also, ladies and gentleman, hear me out on this. August 4th, 1936, was the day that Greek General loanis Metaxas, leader of the August 4th regime, suspended parliament and the constitution, declaring himself a dictator. John McCain knows this. John McCain was born 25 days later. Remember — don’t forget — John McCain’s first words: “We are all Grecians!”

But that’s not all, ladies and gentleman. On August 4, 70, the Romans destroyed the Second Temple in Jerusalem. On August 4, 1,721 years later, the Treaty of Sistova was signed, ending the Ottoman, Habsburg wars. It’s a good thing, too, or today — this very day — that thing John McCain likes to put his feet up on when he is relaxing on an Easy Chair in any one of his seven houses? That would be called a Habsburg. Think of that, for a minute.

Ladies and gentleman, August 4, 1984 was the day the African Republic of Upper Volta changed its name to Burkina Faso. It was the day the invasion of Kuwait became the Gulf War. It was the day, in 1997, when 185,000 Teamsters walked off the job for UPS. It’s the birthday of Raoul Wallenberg, Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland, and Norwegian ski jumper Bjorn Wirkola. Not to mention Billy Bob Thornton and Kurt Busch!

Just think of the symbolism, ladies and gentlemen. We know when they will attack. We don’t know how. Dirty bomb, maybe. Or anthrax. I’d put the odds at roughly fifty-fifty on anthrax. Or, hell, Trojan Horse. I obviously don’t know — but speculate, I’m happy to do.

Ladies and gentleman, Barack Obama’s going to have to make some really tough – I don’t know what the decision’s going to be, but I promise you it will occur. As a student of history and having served with seven presidents, I guarantee you it’s going to happen.

You and I know he won’t have the right response. He’s barely been in the Senate four years. He’s going to need your help. Aw, heck, I know you probably won’t be his secretary of defense. Unlikely you’ll be on the National Security Council, either, I’m guessing. But don’t let that stop you. Send Barack an email with your thoughts on how to handle it. Put the name of the crisis in the slug. If you’re on vacation, write him a postcard. Or, if you prefer, send him a text — he digs that stuff. did u c that comin? You get the idea.

And what about that Sarah Palin, by the way. Isn’t she just terrific?

Ladies and gentlemen, when I was a kid, my father had this expression. He used to say, “Joey, when John McCain gets knocked down, don’t just leave him there on the carpet, pick him up. Pick him up!” Remember, I said it standing here. August 4th. Probably early — before all those Washington types have had their coffee. Like 6 a.m., maybe. Or, does anyone — what kind of a day … is that a Wednesday? I don’t have my Blackberry handy. Tuesday? Yeah — 6, 6:15 a.m., thereabouts. If you don’t remember anything else I’ve said this campaign – and why the heck would you? — remember this.

Thank you, and God bless.