Comments on: Why I’m Still Worried … http://neuroticdemocrat.com/2008/10/why-im-still-worried/ "There lives more faith in honest doubt, believe me, than in half the creeds." - Alfred, Lord Tennyson Sun, 09 Oct 2011 02:14:55 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Neurotic Dem http://neuroticdemocrat.com/2008/10/why-im-still-worried/comment-page-1/#comment-221 Neurotic Dem Mon, 13 Oct 2008 02:18:35 +0000 http://neuroticdemocrat.com/?p=249#comment-221 Amalie, There's a great article on p. 1 of the NY Times week in Review about this today. The gist is, there may be a Bradley effect in some states (where it's not polite to say you won't vote for someone because he's black), but there could be a reverse Bradley in others (where it's more acceptable). Also, the data on Bradley is very mixed -- since the Bradley election in Calif, many black candidates have won elections, and the polls at times have been very accurate. Upshot -- it's a complicated picture that may vary state-by-state, and we CAN'T let our guard down or stop working! Amalie,
There’s a great article on p. 1 of the NY Times week in Review about this today. The gist is, there may be a Bradley effect in some states (where it’s not polite to say you won’t vote for someone because he’s black), but there could be a reverse Bradley in others (where it’s more acceptable). Also, the data on Bradley is very mixed — since the Bradley election in Calif, many black candidates have won elections, and the polls at times have been very accurate.
Upshot — it’s a complicated picture that may vary state-by-state, and we CAN’T let our guard down or stop working!

]]> By: Amalie http://neuroticdemocrat.com/2008/10/why-im-still-worried/comment-page-1/#comment-218 Amalie Sun, 12 Oct 2008 00:52:02 +0000 http://neuroticdemocrat.com/?p=249#comment-218 Re: "Because a recent Stanford study indicated that Barack Obama may lose as many as 6 points on election day, because people are not being honest with pollsters about race, which means he could be up by as many as 5 points on Election Day, and still lose …" My mom is terrified of this. She lives in Virginia and is losing sleep over the election. She and my dad are head over heels for Obama. Do people lie to pollsters? What would be the point? It's anonymous, right? So maybe the numbers are an accurate reflection of the way things are going to go? Maybe? Right? Re: “Because a recent Stanford study indicated that Barack Obama may lose as many as 6 points on election day, because people are not being honest with pollsters about race, which means he could be up by as many as 5 points on Election Day, and still lose …”

My mom is terrified of this. She lives in Virginia and is losing sleep over the election. She and my dad are head over heels for Obama.

Do people lie to pollsters? What would be the point? It’s anonymous, right? So maybe the numbers are an accurate reflection of the way things are going to go? Maybe? Right?

]]> By: Neurotic Dem http://neuroticdemocrat.com/2008/10/why-im-still-worried/comment-page-1/#comment-209 Neurotic Dem Fri, 10 Oct 2008 14:25:56 +0000 http://neuroticdemocrat.com/?p=249#comment-209 Drdad, I agree with eww -- great pics. I love the early shot of the big scoreboard in the fog, juxtaposed with the later one, with Obama on the screen, in the sunshine. That seems to be a nice metaphor, especially considering your powerful description of the event. keep fighting the fight! -ND Drdad,
I agree with eww — great pics. I love the early shot of the big scoreboard in the fog, juxtaposed with the later one, with Obama on the screen, in the sunshine. That seems to be a nice metaphor, especially considering your powerful description of the event.
keep fighting the fight!
-ND

]]> By: eww http://neuroticdemocrat.com/2008/10/why-im-still-worried/comment-page-1/#comment-205 eww Fri, 10 Oct 2008 00:04:54 +0000 http://neuroticdemocrat.com/?p=249#comment-205 Great job Jon. The pictures were fabulous. Great job Jon.
The pictures were fabulous.

]]> By: drdad http://neuroticdemocrat.com/2008/10/why-im-still-worried/comment-page-1/#comment-204 drdad Thu, 09 Oct 2008 21:37:22 +0000 http://neuroticdemocrat.com/?p=249#comment-204 I decided that in the spirit of Tikkun Olam I would spend the day working for Obama, as I think he is our best hope to heal the world. I got up at 6 and made my bleary way to Fifth Third Field (home of the Dayton Dragons baseball team). I joined a large crowd of volunteers. I was assigned to the Field Jump Team; our job was to give out 2,000 phone lists, each with ten names and numbers to those in the infield (almost all of whom had worked on the campaign in some way). When given the go-ahead they were to call with their own phones. The goal was to encourage 20,000 Obama supporters to vote early. (As an example of how well thought-out the campaign is, they had arranged with the dominant cell phone carriers to temporarily increase their capacity in the area.) Entering the stadium was slightly eerie, as it was shrouded in thick cool fog and the sun was still behind heavy cloud cover. The seats were vacant and all the activity was on the field as final preparations were being made. When the crowds flooded in we started giving out the phone lists and at least 60% of the people took them. When all mine were gone I shifted to field security and made sure unauthorized people weren't allowed in the bleachers behind the speaking platform. Just before the speakers started I was asked to join the others in the bleachers - if you see any video from today's speech I'm over Obama's right shoulder in a yellow jacket wearing a tan baseball cap with a L'shana Obama pin. Governor Strickland gave a brief rousing speech and then Obama came out and spoke, without notes, for 45 minutes. He mainly focused on the economy and jobs, and his only response to the Bush III and Palin attacks was to deride and belittle them as a diversion from addressing the issues of concern to the country. He said he had no difficulty putting up with the attacks and that he would continue to propose solutions. The event was very well attended and the crowd was enthusiastic. If you want to see pictures of the event, go to http://flickr.com/photos/jonkleinman/2927646812/in/set-72157607889925261/ GObama! I decided that in the spirit of Tikkun Olam I would spend the day working for Obama, as I think he is our best hope to heal the world. I got up at 6 and made my bleary way to Fifth Third Field (home of the Dayton Dragons baseball team). I joined a large crowd of volunteers. I was assigned to the Field Jump Team; our job was to give out 2,000 phone lists, each with ten names and numbers to those in the infield (almost all of whom had worked on the campaign in some way). When given the go-ahead they were to call with their own phones. The goal was to encourage 20,000 Obama supporters to vote early. (As an example of how well thought-out the campaign is, they had arranged with the dominant cell phone carriers to temporarily increase their capacity in the area.)
Entering the stadium was slightly eerie, as it was shrouded in thick cool fog and the sun was still behind heavy cloud cover. The seats were vacant and all the activity was on the field as final preparations were being made. When the crowds flooded in we started giving out the phone lists and at least 60% of the people took them. When all mine were gone I shifted to field security and made sure unauthorized people weren’t allowed in the bleachers behind the speaking platform. Just before the speakers started I was asked to join the others in the bleachers – if you see any video from today’s speech I’m over Obama’s right shoulder in a yellow jacket wearing a tan baseball cap with a L’shana Obama pin.
Governor Strickland gave a brief rousing speech and then Obama came out and spoke, without notes, for 45 minutes. He mainly focused on the economy and jobs, and his only response to the Bush III and Palin attacks was to deride and belittle them as a diversion from addressing the issues of concern to the country. He said he had no difficulty putting up with the attacks and that he would continue to propose solutions.
The event was very well attended and the crowd was enthusiastic. If you want to see pictures of the event, go to http://flickr.com/photos/jonkleinman/2927646812/in/set-72157607889925261/
GObama!

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