Posts Tagged ‘Biden’

Best of the NJDC Policy Conference

Thursday, September 25th, 2008

BEST JOKE: Joe Biden

Every year, the Yeshiva University crew team takes on the Harvard crew team, and, every year, Yeshiva gets creamed. Finally, the Yeshiva coach says he’s had enough, and asks one of his team members to go spy on the Harvard team, to learn why they are so successful.  The guy goes and hides in the bushes alongside the river, and watches the Harvard team as it passes by. Then, he leaps up, runs from the riverside, and finds his coach.

"I’ve got it!" he says. "I know the secret to their success! They’ve got eight guys rowing, and only one yelling!"

BEST NON SEQUITUR: Joe Biden

Who added: "That’s what we have to do this election: Ignore the malarkey, distractions, emails, and get behind Barack Obama. Straight up, folks."

BEST OPENER: Al Franken

"Thank you Marc. Thank you Ira. Thank you Jews. Thank you Democrats. Thank you members of the press — some of whom are probably Jews."

BEST POLITICAL ANALYSIS: Al Franken

Who noted that he was running against Sen. Norm Coleman (a Jew) who had succeeded Sen. Paul Wellstone (also a Jew), and concluded: "Minnesota is just not ready for a gentile."

MOST OPTIMISTIC ANALYSIS: William Galston, senior fellow, Brookings Institution

"Assuming Sen. Obama does not stumble badly, the odds are he’ll score a narrow but significant victory along the lines of Bush."

BEST ANALYSIS OF SENATE RACES: Amy Walter, Editor-in-chief of the Hotline

"Essentially in the bank" Democratic pickups: Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado, New Hampshire

Democrats have a very good shot: Alaska

Possible Democratic pickups, but still a stretch: Oregon, North Carolina

Tougher races for Democrats: Minnesota, Maine

On election night: 4 or fewer Democratic Senate pickups would be a bad night; 5 or 6 are likely to go Democratic; getting over 6 "means that all hell has broken lose."

BEST ANALYSIS OF HOUSE RACES: Nathan Gonzales, political editor, Rothenberg Political Report

"The Democrats are going to pick up seats, we just don’t know how many yet."

He said, possibly: More than 19.

Among the reasons: There are 26 open GOP seats; only 6 open Democratic seats. Also, the Democrats hold a distinct money advantage: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has $54 million in the bank, compared to $14 million for their GOP counterparts. Democrats are outspending Republicans right now 2-to-1 in competitive districts.

BIGGEST UNDERSTATEMENT: Nathan Gonzales

"It’s hip to like Barack Obama. It’s hip to wear an Obama T-shirt. I don’t think many people think it’s cool to wear a John McCain T-shirt."

BEST EXPLANATION OF SOMETHING I’VE BEEN WONDERING ABOUT: Stuart Rothenberg

Who explained that pollsters believe young people who have only cell phones don’t vote differently from young people who have land lines. (Which would mean the notion that Obama’s support is under-counted in the national polls because many of his supporters only have cell phones is likely false.)

BEST ANALOGY: Amy Walter

Who compared the election to the baseball season. Most people, she said, are just tuning in to the baseball season now, as the playoffs are about to start. "I have no idea who led the league in June," she said. "But I know it now." She added: "All those games played during the season mean very little to me." Similarly, she said, so much of what happened during the primaries and even into the general election — for instance, the Rev. Wright controversy — has little impact on people tuning in now. "It’s just stuff that happened," she said.

BEST SOUNDBITE: Congresswoman Shelley Berkley of Nevada

Who described a meeting she had in March of 2007 with Condi Rice, who was lobbying for support of the administration’s plan to sell $20 billion worth of advanced weapons to the Saudis. (The sale eventually went through, as was reported by the press in July 2007.)

Berkley was very resistant to providing so much deadly weaponry to a Middle East enemy of Israel.

According to Berkley, Rice said: "The president would not do anything to hurt Israel."

At which point Berkley replied: "With all due respect Madame Secretary. In ten months, you won’t be secretary of state. Bush won’t be president. But I’m still going to be Jewish."

BEST FOREIGN POLICY POINT: Congressman Brad Sherman of California

Who said that without Russia’s help, it would be difficult if not impossible to effectively pressure Iran. Yet McCain and Palin appear ready to start and "rigorously wage" a new Cold War with Russia.

"I don’t think we can beat the Russians and the extremists in two simultaneous wars," he said. "We need a smart foreign policy, not an angry foreign policy."

BEST POLITICAL POINT: Ann Lewis, senior advisor to HillPAC

Asked why the issue of Supreme Court nominees has not resonated even more strongly among liberals, Lewis said the threat is still: "Two ifs away."

If I vote for John McCain and if he appoints someone opposed to reproductive rights. It’s less immediate, she said, then, for example, equal pay for equal work.

BEST DOMESTIC POLICY POINT: Joe Biden

Speaking about John McCain’s plan to open up the health care market in the same way that the GOP has opened up the banking industry, he quoted his father: "Don’t tell me what you value, champ. Show me your budget — I’ll tell you what you value."

BEST OVERALL QUOTE : Steve Rabinowitz, President of Rabinowitz/Dorf Communications

How much time should we be devoting in our communities between now and election day to help Obama win?

"I only ask you to spend your every waking moment," he said. "And then — you can do whatever you want."

Biden: Obama Gets Israel in His Kishkes

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

Joe Biden knows Barack Obama is a staunch supporter of the Jewish state.

That’s what Biden told an audience of more than 200 people tonight at the National Jewish Democratic Council’s policy conference in Washington, DC.

Biden started off by recounting his decades-long relationship with the Jewish state. His first trip he took abroad was to Israel, he said. He met Golda Meir and a young aide, Yitzhak Rabin. He said he has personally met with all nine Israeli prime ministers since then. He spoke about some of the highlights of his Senate career, when he has gone to bat for the Jewish state: he fought the AWACs sale to the Saudis; he was an original co-sponsor of the Palestinian anti-terrorism act. He noted that he has spoken out forcefully against anti-Semitism in Europe, and in Arab countries.

“Why do I tell you this?” he asked.

Because, he said, he supports Israel from his stomach to his heart to his head.

“And I promise you — I promise you,” he said. “I would not have joined Barack Obama unless I knew he shared the same commitment to Israel that I do.”

When he said that — when he reiterated what so many of us in that room have felt and long known to be true – he received an extended standing ovation.

“Barack is more than on the record” on Israel, Biden said. “He understands. He gets it.”

McCain’s Mudslinging ‘Tipping Point’

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

Perhaps Joe Biden just made his first big gaffe, calling an Obama campaign ad about McCain “terrible,” and saying it wouldn’t have been run had he known about it. Article here. Biden has since backtracked. But how long before we again see Biden’s words used against Obama in a TV ad, indicating that the candidate of hope has sunk into the mud?

Here’s why this is even more frustrating. According to independent watchdog groups, it’s McCain — purportedly of the Straight Talk Express — who has in fact sunk so low with his Obama attack ads, most agree there’s no precedent for it in modern politics.

Consider this article, from today’s USA Today. Though the headline and subdeck indicate a kind of moral equivalency between the campaigns (“Fact checkers find rivals’ ads low on truth”), there can be no doubt — when you read the article — McCain is by far a worse offender. Here’s the nut:

Veteran campaign watchers say they have never seen ads quite like some from Republican John McCain. The spots contend that Democrat Barack Obama caused high gasoline prices, called McCain running mate Sarah Palin a pig, plans to raise taxes on the middle class and — in an ad called Education that’s emblematic of the trend — wants to teach graphic sex to kindergartners. All the claims are false.

The article notes that Obama has also run negative ads, with a key difference:

So far, several analysts say, most of Obama’s ads mislead and misrepresent in familiar ways — twisting a statistic or a snippet of video to make a questionable point, for instance. They say McCain has been in a different league, epitomized by Education.

“McCain is making no effort to be truthful,” says Farhad Manjoo, author of True Enough: Learning to Live in a Post-Fact Society. “The lies aren’t routine political lies where they stretch the truth of what a candidate might have said, or take a candidate out of context.”

PolitiFact.com, a fact-check team from the St. Petersburg (Fla.) Times and Congressional Quarterly, rates 22 statements and ads from McCain as barely true, 23 as false and six as “pants on fire” (absurdly, ridiculously false) out of 117 analyzed. For Obama, the score is 14 barely true, 18 false and one “pants on fire” out of 120 analyzed.

Check out www.politifact.com. It’s pretty illuminating, on all the candidates. Obama has certainly dipped down into the mud, particularly with his “pants on fire” ad, equating McCain’s views on immigration with Rush Limbaugh’s. But this was Obama’s first ad of this kind. McCain already has 6 that feature outright lies. Even the race-baiting Willie Horton ad run against Dukakis in 1988 was at the very least true. (Horton didcomit the crimes while out on furlough.) What we’re watching now with McCain is something new.

McCain is trying to maintain some sense of moral equivalency between his ads and Obama’s. But as the independent groups point out, there is no equivalency. McCain clearly has no standard for what he will say about Obama.

The USA Today article calls McCain’s “Education” ad, in which he knowingly lies outright – claiming that Obama’s “one legislative accomplishment” was a bill to teach sex ed to kindergartners — was a “tipping point”:

Reporters, columnists, editorial writers and watchdog groups produced fact checks pronouncing it beyond the pale even by the elastic standards of political advertising.

“It was a remarkable ad because it was wrong in so many ways,” says PolitiFact.com editor Bill Adair. Its rating was a mix of “barely true” and “pants on fire.”

Remember, Adair is a nonpartisan factchecker.

Clearly, McCain will say or do anything at all to get elected.

By the way, Politifact.com is currently slamming the NRA for a “pants on fire” mailer against Obama, sent to its members, stating that Obama would rewrite the Second Amendment and ban the use of firearms for home defense. According to the Web site:

There’s ample evidence to the contrary. Here’s Obama speaking at a forum sponsored by WJLA-ABC7 and Politico.com on Feb. 12, 2008: “I think we have two conflicting traditions in this country. I think it’s important for us to recognize that we’ve got a tradition of handgun ownership and gun ownership generally. And a lot of people — law-abiding citizens use it for hunting, for sportsmanship, and for protecting their families (emphasis added). We also have a violence on the streets that is the result of illegal handgun usage…We can have reasonable, thoughtful gun control measures that I think respect the Second Amendment and people’s traditions.”

That doesn’t sound to us like someone planning to “ban use of firearms for home defense.” Quite the opposite, actually.

On this score, as with so many issues, Obama has a reasoned approach that seeks to govern from the middle ground where most of us live.

 

My Obama Minute: Contribution

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

I gave a small contribution to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, after receiving an email from Al Gore noting that House Democrats are currently matching gifts, two-to-one. You can do the same at www.dccc.org.

I’m in Washington, DC for an extremely important policy conference, hosted by the National Jewish Democratic Council. Joe Biden is the keynote speaker, tonight at 5 p.m. Then, at 6:45, I’ll be attending a panel discussion handicapping the 2008 races. So check back late tonight or tomorrow morning for key polling updates.